Subject: Forwarded: 1600--Market Research: The Future of the Environment ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Comments: From: Dave Iverson:R04A Date: Feb 26,91 8:42 AM ** CARING FOR THE LAND ** As the war in Kuwait winds down, we will be left to ponder the fate of the Middle East regarding both the environment and the people. Here at home we must consider, once again, the fate of our environment and our people. Boston-based Opinion Research Service recently unveiled an assessment of our public pulse on environmental issues early in 1989. The mood of the country then was somber, as it will be again, I suspect, in a few days when we add recent environmental disasters - not the least of which are 200+ burning oil facilities in Kuwait - to those we've piled up in the last few decades. Thanks to Richard Lindeborg and Beverly Carroll for the two page summary of public opinion that follows. Dve. Previous comments: From: DIRECTOR,PAO Date: Feb 22,91 10:55 AM Can research prevent environmental deterioration? What will happen to managers who pollute the air or water? What do people see for our environment in the next 50 years? THE MARKET RESEARCH SECTION OF THE PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE PRESENTS THE THIRD IN A SERIES OF SUMMARIES FROM THE AMERICAN PUBLIC OPINION INDEX 1989, A RECENTLY RELEASED SOURCE OF PUBLIC OPINION DATA. PLEASE PASS THIS MATERIAL ON TO ANY PUBLIC AFFAIRS SPECIALISTS, LINE OFFICERS, OR STAFF OFFICERS YOU FEEL COULD MAKE USE OF IT IN THEIR DECISION MAKING. The clash between public land acquisition and private property rights -------========X========------- The Future of the Environment* February 26, 1991 Richard Lindeborg, Program Analyst Beverly Carroll, Program Analyst USDA Forest Service Public Affairs Office Market Research Section Management Implications -- Environmental research programs have a base of public support as one way to minimize environmental deterioration. This support is rather unfocused and does not readily translate into advocacy of higher taxes to support research efforts. -- Management activities that cause air or water pollution or which release toxic materials will quickly run afoul of the existing public opinion that these environmental problems have been getting worse and will continue to deteriorate. SERIOUS ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS IN THE FUTURE--In 1988, more than four-fifths of Americans (82%) felt their children or grandchildren would face severe air and water pollution 25-50 years from now. This is up from just over two-thirds of Americans in 1974 and 1980. Nearly three-quarters felt their children would face congestion of cities and highways, shortage of water supplies, and the greenhouse effect. Three in five say that overpopulation will be a problem. (The Public Pulse, The Roper Organization, June 1989) LOSING GROUND--Only 32% of Americans feel we are making progress in controlling pollution, while 42% feel we are losing ground. AIDS is the only major problem Americans are even close to feeling we are making progress on. The environment is listed as one of the two most serious problems by fewer Americans (13%) than drugs (54%); poverty, hunger and homelessness (35%); crime (33%), and AIDS (31%). (Times Mirror Co., January 1989, N=2,048) ENVIRONMENT POOR TO FAIR--Two-thirds of Americans say the environment is in poor or fair condition (64%). Most people (81%) feel the world will be worse off environmentally in 50 years if we go on the way we are now. Nearly all (97%) say we should be doing more to protect the environment. Four-fifths (81%) say they are at least somewhat willing to pay higher taxes to protect the environment. (Harris Poll, April 1989, N=1,253) ___________________ *American Public Opinion Index 1989. Opinion Research Service, Boston, MA. 1990. GOOD NEWS AND BAD NEWS--Nearly two-thirds (65%) of Americans think a new, clean energy source will be developed by the turn of the century. Almost as many (61%) think there will also be a major change in the earth's climate by then. (Gallup Poll, Mirror of America, January 1, 1990, N=1,234) TECHNOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT--Nearly two-thirds of Americans think the United States in the 1990s will be thought of as more of a leader in terms of our scientific research. Nearly three-quarters (71%) are confident that developments in technology will be of benefit to the environment. On the other hand, two thirds (65%) say the next decade will result in more pollution of the environment. Most people think several major environmental problems will get worse in the 1990s: Pollution of the oceans (72%), air pollution (69%), industrial toxic wastes (47%), and acid rain (58%). They are fairly evenly split on whether the effects of pesticides and radon gas in homes will get better or worse. When asked which problem they fear the most, people elevate air pollution to number one (30%) and industrial toxic waste to number two (28%). They drop pollution of the oceans to third place (12%). Acid rain is fourth with 10%. More than half (56%) feel the greenhouse effect will become a major problem for the world in the 1990s. (Hearst Corporation, [1989], N=1,001) MINNESOTANS AND THE ENVIRONMENT--Nearly three-quarters of the people in Minnesota feel air pollution (72%) and water pollution (71%) will get worse in the next ten years. Two-thirds feel global warming (63%) and hazardous wastes (66%) will get worse. St. Paul Press and Dispatch, February 1989, N=762) POLLUTION IS ON THE INCREASE